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2024-12-13 04:34:35

Analysts commented on the US CPI in November: It is still a consensus that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points again. JOSH HIRT, a senior American economist at VANGUARD, said: "The US CPI data in November confirmed the market consensus that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points again. We are still paying close attention to the strength of the labor market and the potential inflationary stickiness of some components of inflation (housing and services) before 2025. "After the publication of CPI in the United States, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December has almost been fully priced. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 2.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 97.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.7%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 71.2%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 27.1%.Diplomat: The EU envoy failed to reach an agreement on the 15th round of sanctions against Russia.


German Chancellor Scholz: Decisions need to be made before the end of the year, such as improving children's welfare. It is necessary to solve the financial drag problem before the end of the year.Before the release of CPI in the United States, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December was 86.1%. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability of the Fed keeping the current interest rate unchanged by December was 13.9%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points was 86.1%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 10.6%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 69.1%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 20.2%.Analyst Curran: There are almost no surprises in today's CPI data. The housing index rose by 0.3% in November, accounting for nearly 40% of the monthly increase in all projects.


CEO of Wells Fargo: The situation of low-end consumers is even more difficult. Consumer credit is still very strong.ExxonMobil Oil: US President-elect Trump will bring good prospects to the US oil and gas industry. Support US President-elect Trump to repair the "broken" licensing system in the US energy field.This week, the personal pension expansion policy will be announced, "the time point may be December 12". It was learned from insiders that the personal pension expansion policy will be announced this week, "the time point may be December 12". According to industry insiders, the personal pension pilot will be fully liberalized in the near future, expanding from the original 36 pilot cities to the whole country. At the same time, personal pension fund products are also expanding, and some mature broad-based ETF-linked funds and broad-based index OTC products will add Y shares. (21 Finance)

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